The First Virtue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (21 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 39
Defender wins (German): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 993 | 47% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2023-03-09 | Won |
| 1102 | 1002 | 64% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 873 | 1070 | 24% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 963 | 923 | 56% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1038 | 51% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 1011 | 983 | 54% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 899 | 966 | 40% | 2018-06-14 | Won |
| 1149 | 865 | 84% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 865 | 973 | 35% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
| 945 | 916 | 54% | 2017-11-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 1203 | 25% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 989 | 918 | 60% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 906 | 1045 | 31% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 1219 | 1058 | 72% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1114 | 37% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1064 | 982 | 62% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1023 | 59% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
| 927 | 999 | 40% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1023.8 vs 1019.4 has a 50.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).