The First Virtue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (21 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 25
Defender wins (German): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 1019 | 38% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2023-03-09 | Won |
| 1100 | 1023 | 61% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 920 | 1075 | 29% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 963 | 974 | 48% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1056 | 50% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 1065 | 984 | 61% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1015 | 898 | 66% | 2018-06-14 | Won |
| 1206 | 1024 | 74% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1024 | 973 | 57% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1037 | 1027 | 51% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
| 1020 | 917 | 64% | 2017-11-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 939 | 1249 | 14% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 948 | 906 | 56% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1059 | 71% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 905 | 1054 | 30% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 1010 | 1019 | 49% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1100 | 48% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 931 | 1024 | 37% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1042.1 vs 1033.2 has a 51.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).