The First Virtue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Free French): 8
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 916 | 1051 | 31% | 2023-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2023-03-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2022-11-19 | | Won |
| 909 | 1077 | 28% | 2022-09-11 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1057 | 45% | 2020-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2020-04-22 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2018-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2018-06-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2018-01-28 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1019 | 52% | 2017-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-11-16 | | Won |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2017-11-05 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1211 | 42% | 2017-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2017-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1060 | 71% | 2017-10-06 | | Lost |
| 906 | 1056 | 30% | 2017-10-06 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2017-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1147 | 42% | 2017-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2017-10-02 | | Won |
| 950 | 1024 | 40% | 2017-10-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1034.7 vs 1021.3 has a 51.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).