The First Virtue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (21 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 25
Defender wins (German): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 999 | 40% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2023-03-09 | Won |
| 1100 | 963 | 69% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 920 | 1075 | 29% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 963 | 1009 | 43% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1057 | 58% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 1002 | 984 | 53% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1016 | 913 | 64% | 2018-06-14 | Won |
| 1176 | 951 | 79% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 951 | 973 | 47% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
| 938 | 917 | 53% | 2017-11-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 997 | 1256 | 18% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 1049 | 918 | 68% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1058 | 72% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 905 | 1039 | 32% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 1028 | 1019 | 51% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1055 | 54% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 974 | 1024 | 43% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1040.8 vs 1029 has a 51.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).