Lunch in Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (13 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 1209 | 31% | 2023-12-21 | Lost |
| 985 | 943 | 56% | 2023-08-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-07-31 | Lost |
| 1020 | 866 | 71% | 2020-03-18 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 947 | 1041 | 37% | 2018-08-03 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1137 | 48% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1039 | 988 | 57% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 884 | 884 | 50% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
| 981 | 1165 | 26% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1228 | 21% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1004.3 vs 1045.8 has a 44.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).