Ambush on South Knob
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 18
Defender wins (American): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1205 | 834 | 89% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1008 | 1003 | 51% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 1006 | 927 | 61% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 1195 | 22% | 2020-03-03 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1149 | 865 | 84% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 877 | 865 | 52% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
| 1133 | 945 | 75% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1023 | 861 | 72% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1023 | 889 | 68% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1069 | 44% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1130 | 47% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1044.9 vs 965.4 has a 61.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).