Ambush on South Knob
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (13 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 12
Defender wins (American): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1203 | 828 | 90% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1047 | 1004 | 56% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 957 | 958 | 50% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 1188 | 23% | 2020-03-03 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1024 | 53% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1266 | 40% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 879 | 1266 | 10% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1043 | 63% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1079 | 861 | 78% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1079 | 890 | 75% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1069 | 41% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1126 | 49% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1151 | 50% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1067.5 vs 1051.8 has a 52.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).