Flight of Fancy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (13 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 924 | 65% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1091 | 64% | 2019-07-02 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1333 | 17% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 932 | 84% | 2019-04-23 | Won |
| 1106 | 1125 | 47% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1078 | 56% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 1141 | 924 | 78% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1133 | 971 | 72% | 2017-12-21 | Won |
| 1124 | 976 | 70% | 2017-10-30 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1028 | 56% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1065 | 1096 | 46% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1087.8 vs 1056.4 has a 54.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).