Flight of Fancy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (13 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 748 | 84% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1088 | 71% | 2019-07-02 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1310 | 19% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 932 | 84% | 2019-04-23 | Won |
| 1110 | 1121 | 48% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1067 | 59% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-12-21 | Won |
| 1106 | 975 | 68% | 2017-10-30 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1041 | 52% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1058 | 1073 | 48% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1100.5 vs 1020.2 has a 61.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).