Flight of Fancy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (13 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1126 | 37% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1094 | 65% | 2019-07-02 | Lost |
| 1419 | 1333 | 62% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 1217 | 932 | 84% | 2019-04-23 | Won |
| 1122 | 1215 | 37% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1217 | 16% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1113 | 53% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 1196 | 1126 | 60% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1167 | 970 | 76% | 2017-12-21 | Won |
| 1124 | 976 | 70% | 2017-10-30 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1003 | 57% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1079 | 1096 | 48% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1128.6 vs 1092.1 has a 55.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).