Flight of Fancy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (13 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 991 | 56% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 1041 | 1000 | 56% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1084 | 63% | 2019-07-02 | Lost |
| 1420 | 1252 | 72% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 1217 | 932 | 84% | 2019-04-23 | Won |
| 1123 | 1223 | 36% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1217 | 16% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1109 | 47% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1139 | 970 | 73% | 2017-12-21 | Won |
| 1125 | 1103 | 53% | 2017-10-30 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1045 | 49% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1129.2 vs 1077.9 has a 57.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).