The Right Nostril
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (4 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1196 | 1091 | 65% | 2024-10-03 | Won |
| 970 | 1029 | 42% | 2024-01-10 | Lost |
| 900 | 1011 | 35% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1039 vs 1055.3 has a 47.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).