The Battle of Mali Spadarit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 9
Defender wins (Greek): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1098 | 57% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 757 | 1029 | 17% | 2020-07-29 | Lost |
| 1011 | 994 | 52% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 1168 | 1100 | 60% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1382 | 16% | 2019-11-06 | Lost |
| 1223 | 805 | 92% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1109 | 47% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1075 | 57% | 2018-07-07 | Won |
| 1419 | 1333 | 62% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1084.2 vs 1103.4 has a 47.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).