Mauled at Merdorp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (13 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (French): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2022-05-21 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1162 | 35% | 2022-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-03-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2021-07-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2020-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2019-08-31 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2019-05-17 | | Won |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2018-05-21 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2018-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2018-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1252 | 1000 | 81% | 2018-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1119 | 1068 | 57% | 2018-03-10 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1074.6 vs 1047.8 has a 53.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).