Mauled at Merdorp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (14 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (French): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1042 | 61% | 2022-05-21 | Won |
| 1024 | 1151 | 32% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2022-03-22 | Won |
| 1055 | 1136 | 39% | 2021-07-22 | Lost |
| 949 | 1055 | 35% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1044 | 55% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1243 | 979 | 82% | 2018-10-24 | Lost |
| 1068 | 970 | 64% | 2018-05-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1284 | 1116 | 72% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1174 | 878 | 85% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1076 | 58% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1110.6 vs 1043.1 has a 59.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).