Mauled at Merdorp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (14 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (French): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1042 | 52% | 2022-05-21 | Won |
| 1080 | 1137 | 42% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2022-03-22 | Won |
| 1053 | 1116 | 41% | 2021-07-22 | Lost |
| 988 | 1043 | 42% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 973 | 1044 | 40% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1040 | 62% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2018-10-24 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2018-05-21 | Won |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 1132 | 977 | 71% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1280 | 1157 | 67% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1290 | 30% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1050 | 60% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1098.4 vs 1078.1 has a 52.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).