Mauled at Merdorp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (14 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (French): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1042 | 55% | 2022-05-21 | Won |
| 1035 | 1152 | 34% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-03-22 | Won |
| 1053 | 1135 | 38% | 2021-07-22 | Lost |
| 948 | 1054 | 35% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1040 | 60% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1226 | 1042 | 74% | 2018-10-24 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2018-05-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1137 | 63% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1042 | 61% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1154 | 68% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1289 | 29% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1084 | 54% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1102.2 vs 1089.7 has a 51.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).