Mauled at Merdorp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (14 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (French): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1042 | 53% | 2022-05-21 | Won |
| 1051 | 1146 | 37% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2022-03-22 | Won |
| 1055 | 1135 | 39% | 2021-07-22 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1039 | 51% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1044 | 49% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1041 | 62% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1141 | 1016 | 67% | 2018-10-24 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2018-05-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1137 | 63% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1016 | 66% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1133 | 71% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1290 | 31% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1065 | 57% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1104.1 vs 1084.9 has a 52.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).