The Replacements
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (17 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 32
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 1154 | 47% | 2026-01-31 | Won |
| 999 | 1220 | 22% | 2026-01-05 | Lost |
| 969 | 947 | 53% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 884 | 890 | 49% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
| 971 | 974 | 50% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1135 | 35% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 1066 | 910 | 71% | 2018-09-16 | Tied |
| 967 | 1110 | 31% | 2018-07-29 | Won |
| 1005 | 918 | 62% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 974 | 1085 | 35% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 1328 | 1343 | 48% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1029 | 40% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1025.8 vs 1062.6 has a 44.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).