The Replacements
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (16 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 32
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1078 | 32% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1160 | 1141 | 53% | 2026-01-31 | Won |
| 999 | 1256 | 19% | 2026-01-05 | Lost |
| 950 | 962 | 48% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 884 | 904 | 47% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
| 974 | 976 | 50% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1117 | 38% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 1066 | 910 | 71% | 2018-09-16 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1109 | 40% | 2018-07-29 | Won |
| 1007 | 917 | 63% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1084 | 41% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1081 | 33% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1015 vs 1053.1 has a 44.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).