The Replacements
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (14 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1279 | 18% | 2026-01-05 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 886 | 904 | 47% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
| 974 | 976 | 50% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1099 | 40% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 903 | 1102 | 24% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 1089 | 910 | 74% | 2018-09-16 | Tied |
| 1085 | 1074 | 52% | 2018-07-29 | Won |
| 1023 | 917 | 65% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1084 | 42% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
| 986 | 1095 | 35% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1082 | 33% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1022.9 vs 1042.2 has a 47.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).