Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (22 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 39
Defender wins (American): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1007 | 50% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 953 | 1051 | 36% | 2023-08-25 | Won |
| 1054 | 1174 | 33% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 907 | 919 | 48% | 2019-08-20 | Lost |
| 879 | 953 | 40% | 2019-07-30 | Tied |
| 931 | 1006 | 39% | 2019-07-07 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2019-02-12 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1026 | 60% | 2018-10-13 | Lost |
| 913 | 1091 | 26% | 2018-09-09 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1051 | 62% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 1020 | 931 | 63% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1020 | 58% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1113 | 910 | 76% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 863 | 1010 | 30% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1193 | 52% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 1055 | 1009 | 57% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 970 | 1154 | 26% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 931 | 1014 | 38% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1023 | 975 | 57% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 1082 | 32% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 999.4 vs 1024 has a 46.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).