Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (22 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 39
Defender wins (American): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 989 | 53% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 977 | 1007 | 46% | 2023-08-25 | Won |
| 1053 | 1104 | 43% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 907 | 998 | 37% | 2019-08-20 | Lost |
| 877 | 1064 | 25% | 2019-07-30 | Tied |
| 896 | 1004 | 35% | 2019-07-07 | Won |
| 864 | 848 | 52% | 2019-02-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1059 | 56% | 2018-10-13 | Lost |
| 913 | 1116 | 24% | 2018-09-09 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1007 | 67% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 1026 | 896 | 68% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1026 | 55% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1074 | 910 | 72% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 864 | 1056 | 25% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1264 | 41% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 896 | 1011 | 34% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 995 | 976 | 53% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 1084 | 31% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1112 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 987.5 vs 1035.8 has a 43.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).