Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (21 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (American): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1008 | 48% | 2023-08-25 | Won |
| 1112 | 1128 | 48% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 907 | 878 | 54% | 2019-08-20 | Lost |
| 879 | 1012 | 32% | 2019-07-30 | Tied |
| 963 | 1006 | 44% | 2019-07-07 | Won |
| 880 | 848 | 55% | 2019-02-12 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1073 | 52% | 2018-10-13 | Lost |
| 912 | 1046 | 32% | 2018-09-09 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1008 | 67% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 1035 | 963 | 60% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1035 | 48% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 978 | 897 | 61% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 864 | 1043 | 26% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1311 | 35% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 1036 | 946 | 63% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 967 | 1153 | 26% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1072 | 976 | 63% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 1014 | 43% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 947 | 1071 | 33% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1160 | 43% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 998.7 vs 1028.2 has a 45.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).