Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (25 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 40
Defender wins (American): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1221 | 22% | 2026-02-23 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1200 | 28% | 2026-02-01 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1038 | 46% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 954 | 1040 | 38% | 2023-08-25 | Won |
| 1078 | 1159 | 39% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 908 | 884 | 53% | 2019-08-20 | Lost |
| 879 | 1012 | 32% | 2019-07-30 | Tied |
| 988 | 1007 | 47% | 2019-07-07 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2019-02-12 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1021 | 60% | 2018-10-13 | Lost |
| 913 | 1023 | 35% | 2018-09-09 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1040 | 64% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 1006 | 988 | 53% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1006 | 65% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1264 | 33% | 2018-06-09 | Lost |
| 1066 | 910 | 71% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 864 | 1019 | 29% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1203 | 50% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 1147 | 934 | 77% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 988 | 1014 | 46% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1015 | 977 | 55% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 1029 | 39% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1011.2 vs 1039.7 has a 45.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).