Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (22 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 39
Defender wins (American): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 969 | 56% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 967 | 1045 | 39% | 2023-08-25 | Won |
| 1053 | 1133 | 39% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 907 | 966 | 42% | 2019-08-20 | Lost |
| 877 | 1032 | 29% | 2019-07-30 | Tied |
| 896 | 1004 | 35% | 2019-07-07 | Won |
| 880 | 848 | 55% | 2019-02-12 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1076 | 55% | 2018-10-13 | Lost |
| 913 | 1082 | 27% | 2018-09-09 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1045 | 62% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 1026 | 896 | 68% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1026 | 52% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1088 | 910 | 74% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 864 | 1029 | 28% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1282 | 39% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 896 | 1011 | 34% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1022 | 976 | 57% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 1084 | 31% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 990.5 vs 1035 has a 43.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).