Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (22 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 39
Defender wins (American): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1006 | 50% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2023-08-25 | Won |
| 1058 | 1127 | 40% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 907 | 927 | 47% | 2019-08-20 | Lost |
| 879 | 1058 | 26% | 2019-07-30 | Tied |
| 951 | 1006 | 42% | 2019-07-07 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2019-02-12 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1058 | 56% | 2018-10-13 | Lost |
| 913 | 1123 | 23% | 2018-09-09 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1036 | 62% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 1028 | 951 | 61% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1028 | 55% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1074 | 910 | 72% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 863 | 1028 | 28% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1207 | 50% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 1133 | 28% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 951 | 1014 | 41% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1023 | 975 | 57% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 1082 | 32% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 994.6 vs 1033.6 has a 44.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).