Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (25 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 41
Defender wins (American): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 1283 | 15% | 2026-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2026-02-01 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1061 | 41% | 2025-03-30 | | Won |
| 1164 | 998 | 72% | 2023-08-25 | | Won |
| 1079 | 1167 | 38% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2019-09-29 | | Lost |
| 908 | 940 | 45% | 2019-08-20 | | Lost |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2019-07-30 | | Tied |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2019-07-07 | | Won |
| 847 | 1000 | 29% | 2019-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1029 | 67% | 2018-10-13 | | Lost |
| 913 | 1025 | 34% | 2018-09-09 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 998 | 70% | 2018-07-27 | | Won |
| 1049 | 981 | 60% | 2018-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1049 | 64% | 2018-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2018-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-05-06 | | Lost |
| 864 | 1080 | 22% | 2018-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2018-03-16 | | Won |
| 1001 | 1058 | 42% | 2018-03-02 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1133 | 28% | 2018-01-16 | | Won |
| 981 | 1015 | 45% | 2018-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2018-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1006.8 vs 1051 has a 43.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).