Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (19 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (American): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
928 | 995 | 40% | 2023-08-25 | Won |
1096 | 1103 | 49% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
917 | 1016 | 36% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
917 | 963 | 43% | 2019-08-20 | Lost |
881 | 880 | 50% | 2019-07-30 | Tied |
1009 | 1005 | 51% | 2019-07-07 | Won |
881 | 849 | 55% | 2019-02-12 | Lost |
1122 | 1114 | 51% | 2018-10-13 | Lost |
1149 | 995 | 71% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
1051 | 1009 | 56% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
1007 | 893 | 66% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
865 | 1057 | 25% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
1202 | 1330 | 32% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
1001 | 961 | 56% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
985 | 1178 | 25% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
1032 | 975 | 58% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
1009 | 984 | 54% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
947 | 1029 | 38% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 999.9 vs 1020.4 has a 47.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).