The Wrong Choice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 780 | 1159 | 10% | 2025-09-01 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1093 | 30% | 2025-08-01 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1111 | 35% | 2019-12-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 909.7 vs 1121 has a 22.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).