Gotta Get Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (22 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 33
Defender wins (German): 33
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 1183 | 45% | 2025-02-12 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1088 | 31% | 2024-12-22 | D | Lost |
| 1031 | 1038 | 49% | 2023-04-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 967 | 55% | 2023-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1078 | 69% | 2022-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 989 | 66% | 2021-04-30 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1164 | 34% | 2021-01-16 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2020-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2020-04-02 | | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2020-02-23 | | Won |
| 986 | 936 | 57% | 2019-12-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2019-11-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-05-27 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1078 | 59% | 2019-05-11 | | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2019-04-10 | | Won |
| 876 | 1090 | 23% | 2019-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2018-11-11 | | Won |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | 2018-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2018-10-06 | | Won |
| 1252 | 1176 | 61% | 2018-08-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2017-06-11 | | Won |
| 982 | 1086 | 35% | | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1059.4 vs 1043.1 has a 52.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).