Gotta Get Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (22 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 33
Defender wins (German): 33
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1202 | 40% | 2025-02-12 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1095 | 30% | 2024-12-22 | D | Lost |
| 1014 | 1038 | 47% | 2023-04-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 979 | 53% | 2023-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1078 | 69% | 2022-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 989 | 66% | 2021-04-30 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1164 | 34% | 2021-01-16 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1004 | 50% | 2020-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 986 | 70% | 2020-04-02 | | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2020-02-23 | | Won |
| 986 | 936 | 57% | 2019-12-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 921 | 61% | 2019-11-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-05-27 | | Won |
| 1142 | 1059 | 62% | 2019-05-11 | | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2019-04-10 | | Won |
| 876 | 1062 | 26% | 2019-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 850 | 85% | 2018-11-11 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2018-10-06 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1138 | 63% | 2018-08-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2017-06-11 | | Won |
| 970 | 1086 | 34% | | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1056.2 vs 1036.4 has a 52.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).