Gotta Get Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (23 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 33
Defender wins (German): 34
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1135 | 1154 | 47% | 2025-02-12 | Lost |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1038 | 49% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 865 | 890 | 46% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1061 | 73% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1102 | 989 | 66% | 2021-04-30 | Won |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2021-01-16 | Won |
| 1005 | 1005 | 50% | 2020-07-26 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1009 | 58% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 986 | 936 | 57% | 2019-12-04 | Won |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2019-11-04 | Won |
| 1094 | 1138 | 44% | 2019-05-27 | Won |
| 1143 | 1018 | 67% | 2019-05-11 | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2019-04-10 | Won |
| 876 | 1040 | 28% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 1172 | 964 | 77% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2018-11-11 | Won |
| 1040 | 1075 | 45% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1141 | 54% | 2018-10-06 | Won |
| 1183 | 1220 | 45% | 2018-08-18 | Won |
| 1169 | 1080 | 63% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
| 982 | 1036 | 42% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1074.9 vs 1027.5 has a 56.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).