Death to Fascism
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (20 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (Romanian/German): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Romanian/German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1430 | 1064 | 89% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 992 | 1133 | 31% | 2023-06-14 | Won |
| 998 | 1226 | 21% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1031 | 74% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 964 | 1036 | 40% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1062 | 53% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1071 | 979 | 63% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1263 | 1097 | 72% | 2019-07-27 | Lost |
| 989 | 1213 | 22% | 2019-07-26 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1337 | 40% | 2019-03-13 | Lost |
| 901 | 1178 | 17% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1053 | 72% | 2018-12-07 | Lost |
| 969 | 1162 | 25% | 2018-11-30 | Won |
| 1159 | 1251 | 37% | 2018-11-07 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1142 | 52% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1083 | 995 | 62% | 2018-10-25 | Won |
| 1129 | 1031 | 64% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 998 | 1024 | 46% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1313 | 1128 | 74% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 1052 | 1141 | 37% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1112.7 vs 1114.2 has a 49.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).