Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (8 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 894 | 1054 | 28% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 962 | 1009 | 43% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2021-12-25 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 950 | 1092 | 31% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
| 970 | 950 | 53% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 929 | 1138 | 23% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 964.9 vs 1035 has a 40.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).