Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (8 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 875 | 979 | 35% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1029 | 48% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 983 | 1009 | 46% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 949 | 805 | 70% | 2021-12-25 | Won |
| 1026 | 1040 | 48% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 974 | 1091 | 34% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
| 970 | 974 | 49% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 902 | 1183 | 17% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 961.5 vs 1013.8 has a 42.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).