Operation Schwarz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (7 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Croatian): 6
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Croatian): 1
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2024-04-03 | Won |
| 991 | 982 | 51% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 991 | 982 | 51% | 2022-10-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 968 | 47% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1000 | 83% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1089 | 962 | 68% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1088 | 47% | 2010-08-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1002.3 has a 57.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).