Simple Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (14 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (British): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 961 | 947 | 52% | 2023-09-23 | Won |
| 1030 | 997 | 55% | 2022-06-01 | Won |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 1021 | 986 | 55% | 2021-12-21 | Lost |
| 974 | 902 | 60% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
| 974 | 902 | 60% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 938 | 56% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 902 | 1109 | 23% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 902 | 1109 | 23% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1196 | 902 | 84% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1141 | 66% | 2019-03-18 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1025.5 vs 1014.6 has a 51.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).