Last Charge at Umbrega
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (8 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 10
Defender wins (Italian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 891 | 56% | 2024-07-20 | Lost |
| 953 | 966 | 48% | 2023-11-29 | Won |
| 1063 | 1149 | 38% | 2021-08-14 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1102 | 54% | 2021-05-28 | Won |
| 1328 | 985 | 88% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1191 | 961 | 79% | 2019-07-31 | Won |
| 1177 | 891 | 84% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1181 | 49% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1118.6 vs 1015.8 has a 64.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).