Last Charge at Umbrega
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (8 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 10
Defender wins (Italian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1133 | 30% | 2024-07-20 | Lost |
| 1058 | 938 | 67% | 2023-11-29 | Won |
| 967 | 1149 | 26% | 2021-08-14 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1066 | 58% | 2021-05-28 | Won |
| 1234 | 974 | 82% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1009 | 58% | 2019-07-31 | Won |
| 1172 | 1133 | 56% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1199 | 49% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1099.4 vs 1075.1 has a 53.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).