Insurrection at Cividale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (9 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 13
Defender wins (German (SS)): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
982 | 1104 | 33% | 2022-10-27 | Lost |
974 | 980 | 49% | 2022-03-01 | Lost |
1118 | 1083 | 55% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
1022 | 1013 | 51% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
1197 | 1058 | 69% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
904 | 993 | 37% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
1183 | 1225 | 44% | 2019-06-28 | Lost |
993 | 1041 | 43% | 2019-05-13 | Won |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2019-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1075.6 vs 1064.8 has a 51.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).