Insurrection at Cividale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (12 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 19
Defender wins (German (SS)): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 1013 | 49% | 2025-10-23 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1068 | 64% | 2024-04-11 | Tied |
| 1040 | 1109 | 40% | 2023-08-25 | Lost |
| 930 | 1148 | 22% | 2022-10-27 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-03-01 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1010 | 65% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
| 931 | 944 | 48% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1126 | 51% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 1206 | 978 | 79% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1226 | 22% | 2019-06-28 | Lost |
| 978 | 980 | 50% | 2019-05-13 | Won |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2019-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1067.9 vs 1056.2 has a 51.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).