Radio X-MAS
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (10 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 17
Defender wins (American / Partisan): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1038 | 40% | 2024-09-05 | Won |
| 1025 | 1070 | 44% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1022 | 51% | 2022-07-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1013 | 61% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 1089 | 1029 | 59% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1223 | 927 | 85% | 2022-02-22 | Won |
| 903 | 1316 | 8% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
| 903 | 1058 | 29% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 974 | 1316 | 12% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.2 vs 1082.1 has a 44.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).