Bread Factory #2
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 333 (17 on the archive and 317 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 174
Defender wins (Russian): 159
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 953 | 59% | 2026-09-28 | | Lost |
| 976 | 1112 | 31% | 2026-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2025-12-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 980 | 53% | 2025-09-20 | | Lost |
| 728 | 1298 | 4% | 2025-09-15 | | Lost |
| 966 | 927 | 56% | 2024-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2023-05-29 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2023-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-04-08 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2022-01-03 | | Won |
| 1027 | 978 | 57% | 2021-09-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2020-11-14 | | Won |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2020-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1035 | 64% | 2019-08-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2019-07-13 | | Won |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2019-02-23 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1006.3 vs 1033.5 has a 46.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).