Turned Away
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 235 (10 on the archive and 225 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 131
Defender wins (Russian): 103
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1256 | 1023 | 79% | 2025-09-27 | Won |
| 980 | 879 | 64% | 2022-08-13 | Tied |
| 1173 | 1006 | 72% | 2021-11-22 | Won |
| 970 | 1038 | 40% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1149 | 41% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
| 1139 | 1009 | 68% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 918 | 1075 | 29% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-03-06 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1076.9 vs 1045.1 has a 54.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).