The Martinofen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (11 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1135 | 1004 | 68% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 1206 | 1012 | 75% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1030 | 1011 | 53% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 955 | 892 | 59% | 2021-01-04 | Lost |
| 954 | 1030 | 39% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 898 | 878 | 53% | 2019-09-19 | Won |
| 1044 | 1107 | 41% | 2019-02-16 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1160 | 43% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1019.9 has a 54.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).