The Martinofen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (12 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1223 | 994 | 79% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 919 | 1051 | 32% | 2023-02-01 | Won |
| 1147 | 1032 | 66% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2021-01-04 | Lost |
| 893 | 1121 | 21% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 899 | 966 | 40% | 2019-09-19 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2019-02-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1046.3 vs 1048.8 has a 49.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).