The Martinofen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 1000 | 66% | 2026-08-26 | | Won |
| 1159 | 967 | 75% | 2025-01-05 | | Won |
| 962 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-02-01 | | Won |
| 951 | 1088 | 31% | 2022-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2022-01-24 | | Won |
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2021-11-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-02-27 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2021-01-04 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2020-04-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2019-09-19 | | Won |
| 932 | 1000 | 40% | 2019-02-24 | A | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2019-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1022 vs 1035.3 has a 48.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).