The Martinofen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 967 | 79% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 972 | 1051 | 39% | 2023-02-01 | Won |
| 1196 | 1126 | 60% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1117 | 968 | 70% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2021-01-04 | Lost |
| 919 | 1071 | 29% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 1016 | 885 | 68% | 2019-09-19 | Won |
| 946 | 965 | 47% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
| 1050 | 1122 | 40% | 2019-02-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1061.2 vs 1033.8 has a 53.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).