The Martinofen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 967 | 78% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 967 | 1051 | 38% | 2023-02-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 967 | 73% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2021-01-04 | Lost |
| 922 | 1070 | 30% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 1017 | 927 | 63% | 2019-09-19 | Won |
| 946 | 965 | 47% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2019-02-16 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.7 vs 1020.1 has a 54.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).