The Martinofen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (12 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 994 | 78% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 948 | 1051 | 36% | 2023-02-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 1132 | 58% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1037 | 1006 | 54% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1111 | 984 | 68% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2021-01-04 | Lost |
| 876 | 1099 | 22% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 899 | 998 | 36% | 2019-09-19 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2019-02-16 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1112 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1055.7 vs 1051.3 has a 50.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).