Ma Deuce Delivers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (30 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (American): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1243 | 989 | 81% | 2026-07-20 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-12-10 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1120 | 48% | 2022-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2022-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2022-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2022-05-10 | | Won |
| 1085 | 1000 | 62% | 2022-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2022-03-13 | | Lost |
| 908 | 1080 | 27% | 2021-12-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2021-10-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2021-10-05 | | Tied |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2021-05-28 | | Won |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2020-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2019-11-09 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1126 | 32% | 2019-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2019-09-04 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2019-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2019-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2019-04-13 | | Won |
| 1133 | 985 | 70% | 2019-04-13 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-04-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2019-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2019-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2019-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1010 | 87% | 2019-02-02 | | Won |
| 1090 | 927 | 72% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1152 | 37% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 919 | 77% | 2019-01-17 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1047.2 vs 1042.5 has a 50.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).