The Lock of Colmar
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (6 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / Free French): 20
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1095 | 1012 | 62% | 2023-02-26 | Won |
1011 | 1188 | 27% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
780 | 1127 | 12% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
1019 | 1062 | 44% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
1051 | 1083 | 45% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
1093 | 1300 | 23% | 2019-05-29 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1008.2 vs 1128.7 has a 33.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).