Bailey's Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (12 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 9
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1029 | 42% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1041 | 963 | 61% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2022-04-04 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1144 | 38% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1003 | 939 | 59% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1163 | 34% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1058 | 1228 | 27% | 2020-03-19 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1141 | 84% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 1036 | 985 | 57% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
| 1096 | 1093 | 50% | 2020-02-06 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1102 | 36% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1003 | 1058 | 42% | 2019-08-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1051.7 vs 1058.8 has a 48.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).