Bailey's Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (12 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 9
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 1030 | 41% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1010 | 963 | 57% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
| 856 | 861 | 49% | 2022-04-04 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1144 | 38% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1036 | 940 | 63% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 865 | 1214 | 12% | 2020-03-19 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1141 | 84% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 1011 | 983 | 54% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
| 1093 | 1164 | 40% | 2020-02-06 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1103 | 40% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1036 | 865 | 73% | 2019-08-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1036.9 vs 1047.6 has a 48.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).