Bailey's Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (12 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 9
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1000 | 46% | 2023-01-30 | | Won |
| 996 | 962 | 55% | 2023-01-06 | | Won |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2022-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1143 | 38% | 2022-01-09 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2021-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1164 | 34% | 2020-05-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2020-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 1140 | 84% | 2020-02-29 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-02-14 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2020-02-06 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-08-17 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-08-01 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1053 has a 48.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).