Hornet’s Nest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (3 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
| 902 | 908 | 49% | 2020-05-14 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 970.7 vs 1015.3 has a 43.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).