Hornet’s Nest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (3 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 1052 | 34% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
| 903 | 940 | 45% | 2020-05-14 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 975 vs 1026.7 has a 42.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).