Feast Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (28 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 42
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 1074 | 49% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 927 | 993 | 41% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 886 | 881 | 51% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 951 | 1013 | 41% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 1051 | 844 | 77% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 1075 | 1043 | 55% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1060 | 916 | 70% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 1061 | 937 | 67% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1056 | 1123 | 40% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 951 | 981 | 46% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1063 | 973 | 63% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 919 | 1010 | 37% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1028 | 1163 | 31% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1028 | 1156 | 32% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1152 | 991 | 72% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1021 | 71% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 918 | 1061 | 31% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 951 | 1006 | 42% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1154 | 934 | 78% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1134 | 1014 | 67% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1135 | 59% | 2020-02-27 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1044 | 55% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1153 | 40% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1033.4 vs 1035 has a 49.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).