Feast Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (26 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 41
Defender wins (German): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 1074 | 49% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 993 | 993 | 50% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 885 | 892 | 49% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 906 | 1013 | 35% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 1080 | 844 | 80% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 1073 | 970 | 64% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1044 | 897 | 70% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 1128 | 37% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 906 | 982 | 39% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1019 | 973 | 57% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 918 | 1009 | 37% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1041 | 1162 | 33% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1041 | 1241 | 24% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1032 | 73% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 913 | 1061 | 30% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 906 | 1006 | 36% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1151 | 1014 | 69% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 1205 | 1116 | 63% | 2020-02-27 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1044 | 56% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1157 | 40% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1037.1 vs 1027.1 has a 51.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).