Feast Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (22 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 36
Defender wins (German): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 934 | 49% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 1051 | 1051 | 50% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 1050 | 844 | 77% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 1001 | 945 | 58% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 1020 | 938 | 62% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1009 | 50% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 1042 | 49% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 927 | 982 | 42% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 988 | 973 | 52% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 1009 | 37% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1024 | 1160 | 31% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1024 | 1205 | 26% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1032 | 76% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 937 | 1051 | 34% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 927 | 1006 | 39% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1149 | 865 | 84% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1044 | 56% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1157 | 40% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1027.5 vs 1026 has a 50.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).