The Last Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (8 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 836 | 909 | 40% | 2024-08-03 | Lost |
| 969 | 1007 | 45% | 2024-07-16 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1011 | 53% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 909 | 920 | 48% | 2022-08-15 | Won |
| 1059 | 944 | 66% | 2022-05-14 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1060 | 51% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
| 924 | 909 | 52% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-01-19 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 980.9 vs 970 has a 51.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).