Prelude: Chabrehez
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Belgian): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 1009 | 52% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 955 | 1071 | 34% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 880 | 815 | 59% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1118 | 51% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1205 | 1071 | 68% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 985 | 946 | 56% | 2020-06-13 | Won |
| 1140 | 968 | 73% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1043 | 58% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1073.2 vs 1003.9 has a 59.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).