Prelude: Chabrehez
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (12 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Belgian): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 948 | 1038 | 37% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 962 | 1039 | 39% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 888 | 813 | 61% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1070 | 55% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1140 | 1005 | 69% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1131 | 1038 | 63% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2020-06-13 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1217 | 1017 | 76% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1004.6 has a 59.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).