Saint-Médard After Dark
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (French): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2026-10-10 | | Won |
| 914 | 1000 | 38% | 2024-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 945 | 70% | 2024-03-12 | D | Won |
| 1059 | 974 | 62% | 2021-06-14 | | Won |
| 954 | 1132 | 26% | 2021-06-09 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1022 | 53% | 2020-10-08 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1006.5 vs 1022.5 has a 47.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).