Hedgehog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 1051 | 43% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 1127 | 900 | 79% | 2023-08-17 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1107 | 53% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
| 1228 | 1116 | 66% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
| 946 | 984 | 45% | 2020-07-10 | Lost |
| 946 | 1127 | 26% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1021 | 1051 | 46% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1057.3 vs 1048 has a 51.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).