Hedgehog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 1071 | 34% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 947 | 926 | 53% | 2023-08-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1094 | 56% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
| 1204 | 1116 | 62% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
| 1044 | 983 | 59% | 2020-07-10 | Lost |
| 1044 | 947 | 64% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1040 | 1071 | 46% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1053 vs 1029.7 has a 53.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).