Hedgehog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 960 | 1099 | 31% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 952 | 900 | 57% | 2023-08-17 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1108 | 53% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
| 1228 | 1116 | 66% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
| 1056 | 984 | 60% | 2020-07-10 | Lost |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1052 | 1099 | 43% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1062.3 vs 1036.9 has a 53.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).