Morning Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (17 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (American): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1242 | 22% | 2025-01-22 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1041 | 53% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1268 | 1095 | 73% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 747 | 1268 | 5% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1226 | 26% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1174 | 34% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1009 | 67% | 2021-08-14 | Won |
| 1135 | 1050 | 62% | 2021-08-04 | Won |
| 1151 | 1135 | 52% | 2021-06-05 | Won |
| 1189 | 1215 | 46% | 2021-01-23 | Won |
| 1052 | 1010 | 56% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1127 | 37% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 909 | 966 | 42% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1215 | 41% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1090 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1070 vs 1124.4 has a 42.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).