Morning Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (17 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (American): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1281 | 1282 | 50% | 2025-01-22 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1040 | 56% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1095 | 64% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 753 | 1193 | 7% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 927 | 1223 | 15% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1116 | 1008 | 65% | 2021-08-14 | Won |
| 1116 | 1049 | 60% | 2021-08-04 | Won |
| 1141 | 1158 | 48% | 2021-06-05 | Won |
| 1217 | 1215 | 50% | 2021-01-23 | Won |
| 1061 | 1008 | 58% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1126 | 37% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 911 | 966 | 42% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1215 | 41% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1124.8 has a 42.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).