Absolut Märkäjärvi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (6 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (Swedish): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (Swedish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1101 | 48% | 2025-01-20 | Tied |
| 1106 | 931 | 73% | 2024-07-12 | Lost |
| 928 | 896 | 55% | 2024-04-15 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2023-05-20 | Won |
| 1045 | 967 | 61% | 2022-12-09 | Lost |
| 1079 | 976 | 64% | 2021-02-25 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1030.8 vs 983.8 has a 56.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).