Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 949 | 52% | 2025-12-01 | Lost |
| 958 | 969 | 48% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1126 | 32% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 1126 | 26% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 888 | 1188 | 15% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 888 | 1188 | 15% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1120 | 62% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 932 | 1009 | 39% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 941 | 983 | 44% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 971 vs 1065.8 has a 36.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).