Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 969 | 47% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 978 | 860 | 66% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 954 | 860 | 63% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1011 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 877 | 1195 | 14% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 877 | 1195 | 14% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1090 | 66% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 974 | 1032 | 42% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 957 | 983 | 46% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 976 vs 1021.4 has a 43.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).