Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 969 | 47% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 995 | 947 | 57% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 946 | 947 | 50% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1014 | 972 | 56% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 893 | 1191 | 15% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 893 | 1191 | 15% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1114 | 62% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 959 | 1021 | 41% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 956 | 983 | 46% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 978.6 vs 1037.2 has a 41.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).