Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-12-01 | | Lost |
| 949 | 969 | 47% | 2024-03-08 | | Won |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-11-23 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-06-23 | | Won |
| 973 | 1165 | 25% | 2022-04-15 | | Won |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2022-02-23 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2022-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1134 | 50% | 2022-01-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2021-11-10 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1023 | 37% | 2021-05-27 | | Won |
| 905 | 983 | 39% | 2021-05-15 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 984.4 vs 1054.7 has a 40.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).