Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 947 | 53% | 2025-12-01 | Lost |
| 949 | 969 | 47% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1052 | 42% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 1052 | 35% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 993 | 1039 | 43% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 992 | 1069 | 39% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 992 | 1069 | 39% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1133 | 37% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2021-11-10 | Lost |
| 925 | 972 | 43% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 939 | 983 | 44% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 978.9 vs 1028.3 has a 42.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).