Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 918 | 918 | 50% | 2025-12-01 | Lost |
| 958 | 969 | 48% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 993 | 973 | 53% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 953 | 1077 | 33% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 975 | 1102 | 32% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 975 | 1102 | 32% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1114 | 60% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 934 | 992 | 42% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 949 | 983 | 45% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 978.7 vs 1020.3 has a 44.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).