Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 969 | 47% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 997 | 1032 | 45% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1007 | 1004 | 50% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1079 | 70% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 958 | 1032 | 40% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 944 | 983 | 44% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 973.4 vs 1063.2 has a 37.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).