Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 972 | 50% | 2025-12-01 | Lost |
| 949 | 969 | 47% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1174 | 26% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 1174 | 21% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1019 | 967 | 57% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 985 | 1070 | 38% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 985 | 1070 | 38% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1133 | 53% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2021-11-10 | Lost |
| 926 | 985 | 42% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 909 | 983 | 40% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 987.5 vs 1047.5 has a 41.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).