Trap by Mishap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (14 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (Finnish/Swedish): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1044 | 52% | 2025-09-08 | Won |
| 1163 | 1065 | 64% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
| 1127 | 1115 | 52% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-03-27 | Lost |
| 1028 | 942 | 62% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1074 | 46% | 2021-09-13 | Lost |
| 890 | 894 | 49% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 890 | 1123 | 21% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1065 | 61% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1257 | 1095 | 72% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1189 | 1135 | 58% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1163 | 1135 | 54% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1036 | 947 | 63% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1078.4 vs 1064.4 has a 52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).