Trap by Mishap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (13 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Finnish/Swedish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1060 | 48% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2022-03-27 | Lost |
| 1010 | 935 | 61% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1074 | 46% | 2021-09-13 | Lost |
| 870 | 894 | 47% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 870 | 1064 | 25% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1060 | 62% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1204 | 27% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1267 | 1095 | 73% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1186 | 1124 | 59% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1165 | 1124 | 56% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1021 | 963 | 58% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1061.5 has a 50.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).