Trap by Mishap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 21
Defender wins (Finnish/Swedish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 1000 | 66% | 2025-09-08 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2025-04-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2022-05-20 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2022-04-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2022-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 932 | 65% | 2021-09-21 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1120 | 29% | 2021-09-13 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2021-09-10 | | Lost |
| 940 | 987 | 43% | 2021-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2021-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1182 | 27% | 2021-07-21 | | Won |
| 1283 | 1059 | 78% | 2021-03-27 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1132 | 50% | 2021-03-27 | | Won |
| 1091 | 1132 | 44% | 2021-03-27 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1127 | 37% | 2020-12-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052.9 vs 1070.2 has a 47.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).