Trap by Mishap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (Finnish/Swedish): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1044 | 52% | 2025-09-08 | Won |
| 1089 | 1081 | 51% | 2025-04-04 | Won |
| 1081 | 1079 | 50% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
| 1174 | 1143 | 54% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-03-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 965 | 57% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1074 | 42% | 2021-09-13 | Lost |
| 940 | 894 | 57% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 940 | 1103 | 28% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1079 | 59% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1180 | 26% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1281 | 1084 | 76% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1203 | 1135 | 60% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1191 | 1135 | 58% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 997 | 1002 | 49% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1081.4 vs 1072.4 has a 51.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).