The Governor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (25 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 32
Defender wins (Vichy French): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2026-06-07 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2024-09-30 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1100 | 44% | 2023-01-18 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2021-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1057 | 47% | 2021-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 972 | 80% | 2021-08-11 | | Lost |
| 966 | 929 | 55% | 2021-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2021-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1038 | 49% | 2021-07-02 | | Lost |
| 894 | 943 | 43% | 2021-06-08 | | Won |
| 976 | 1136 | 28% | 2021-06-03 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2021-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 734 | 94% | 2021-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1080 | 51% | 2021-05-22 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2021-05-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1102 | 36% | 2021-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1073 | 49% | 2021-04-25 | | Lost |
| 935 | 1217 | 16% | 2021-03-26 | | Lost |
| 998 | 734 | 82% | 2021-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1128 | 50% | 2021-03-26 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1217 | 41% | 2021-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1178 | 29% | 2021-03-10 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1098 | 26% | 2021-02-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.1 vs 1044.8 has a 49.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).