The Governor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (24 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 30
Defender wins (Vichy French): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 1099 | 45% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1111 | 1159 | 43% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2021-09-16 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1057 | 52% | 2021-08-27 | Lost |
| 1218 | 992 | 79% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 882 | 962 | 39% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 951 | 982 | 46% | 2021-07-27 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1252 | 37% | 2021-07-15 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1021 | 59% | 2021-07-02 | Lost |
| 889 | 904 | 48% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 1157 | 31% | 2021-06-03 | Lost |
| 997 | 1058 | 41% | 2021-05-25 | Lost |
| 1232 | 755 | 94% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1086 | 46% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1138 | 1102 | 55% | 2021-04-29 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1074 | 49% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 973 | 1232 | 18% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 755 | 80% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1128 | 58% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1054 | 1232 | 26% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1176 | 30% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 917 | 1065 | 30% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 1056.7 has a 48.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).