Sparrow Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (18 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 34
Defender wins (Japanese): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1008 | 1138 | 32% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
1009 | 1087 | 39% | 2023-08-11 | Won |
1046 | 983 | 59% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
1183 | 1062 | 67% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
952 | 979 | 46% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
994 | 1092 | 36% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
914 | 1144 | 21% | 2022-08-11 | Lost |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
1228 | 1046 | 74% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
982 | 1104 | 33% | 2021-09-16 | Lost |
1028 | 959 | 60% | 2021-08-06 | Won |
1159 | 1034 | 67% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
1175 | 965 | 77% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
1180 | 992 | 75% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
1083 | 1226 | 31% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056 vs 1068.2 has a 48.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).