Sparrow Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (20 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 25
Defender wins (Japanese): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1146 | 1124 | 53% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
| 997 | 1030 | 45% | 2023-08-27 | Lost |
| 977 | 891 | 62% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
| 882 | 1046 | 28% | 2023-08-11 | Won |
| 1030 | 959 | 60% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 997 | 1167 | 27% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 976 | 46% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1006 | 1101 | 37% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 904 | 1143 | 20% | 2022-08-11 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1092 | 62% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1030 | 78% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 977 | 1079 | 36% | 2021-09-16 | Lost |
| 1143 | 971 | 73% | 2021-08-06 | Won |
| 1172 | 1057 | 66% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
| 1102 | 969 | 68% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
| 1221 | 1029 | 75% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1174 | 1092 | 62% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1044 | 55% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1076.2 vs 1045.1 has a 54.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).