Sparrow Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (20 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 24
Defender wins (Japanese): 43
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1124 | 47% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1059 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Lost |
| 977 | 878 | 64% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
| 884 | 1029 | 30% | 2023-08-11 | Won |
| 1072 | 984 | 62% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1013 | 1083 | 40% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 958 | 976 | 47% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1003 | 1100 | 36% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 904 | 1113 | 23% | 2022-08-11 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1114 | 57% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1072 | 73% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 1083 | 998 | 62% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 930 | 1123 | 25% | 2021-09-16 | Lost |
| 1143 | 860 | 84% | 2021-08-06 | Won |
| 1173 | 1056 | 66% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
| 1103 | 969 | 68% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
| 1218 | 1053 | 72% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1160 | 1114 | 57% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1108 | 39% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1069.5 vs 1048.8 has a 52.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).