Sparrow Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (20 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 24
Defender wins (Japanese): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1125 | 46% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1089 | 45% | 2023-08-27 | Lost |
| 978 | 879 | 64% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
| 885 | 1024 | 31% | 2023-08-11 | Won |
| 1072 | 984 | 62% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 983 | 1105 | 33% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 976 | 46% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 959 | 1100 | 31% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 904 | 1144 | 20% | 2022-08-11 | Lost |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1072 | 73% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 975 | 1079 | 35% | 2021-09-16 | Lost |
| 1144 | 928 | 78% | 2021-08-06 | Won |
| 1173 | 1057 | 66% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
| 1102 | 969 | 68% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
| 1198 | 1037 | 72% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1052 | 49% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1078.3 vs 1036.2 has a 56.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).