Sparrow Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (20 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 24
Defender wins (Japanese): 43
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1124 | 40% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1122 | 41% | 2023-08-27 | Lost |
| 978 | 879 | 64% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
| 885 | 1051 | 28% | 2023-08-11 | Won |
| 1088 | 984 | 65% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 1084 | 40% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 958 | 976 | 47% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1032 | 1100 | 40% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 905 | 1118 | 23% | 2022-08-11 | Lost |
| 1236 | 805 | 92% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1088 | 71% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1012 | 60% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 954 | 1183 | 21% | 2021-09-16 | Lost |
| 907 | 885 | 53% | 2021-08-06 | Won |
| 1173 | 1056 | 66% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
| 1103 | 969 | 68% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
| 1212 | 1050 | 72% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1236 | 805 | 92% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1166 | 28% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 1031 has a 54.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).