Sparrow Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (19 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 24
Defender wins (Japanese): 42
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1105 | 38% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1064 | 49% | 2023-08-27 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1087 | 39% | 2023-08-11 | Won |
| 966 | 1094 | 32% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 939 | 977 | 45% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 920 | 1056 | 31% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1077 | 984 | 63% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 910 | 1200 | 16% | 2022-08-11 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1077 | 70% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1101 | 44% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 953 | 1140 | 25% | 2021-09-16 | Lost |
| 1143 | 937 | 77% | 2021-08-06 | Won |
| 1173 | 1033 | 69% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
| 1125 | 965 | 72% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
| 1152 | 1019 | 68% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1185 | 33% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1066.5 vs 1057 has a 51.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).