The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 942 | 54% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
| 765 | 1193 | 8% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1100 | 44% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 953 | 920 | 55% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1087 | 38% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1071 | 68% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
| 1044 | 947 | 64% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1069 | 1083 | 48% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1114 | 38% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1071 | 61% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1009 | 58% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1029 | 55% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1034.5 vs 1054 has a 47.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).