The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 937 | 54% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
| 737 | 1271 | 4% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1013 | 60% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 954 | 1044 | 37% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1051 | 54% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
| 1109 | 805 | 85% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1068 | 1093 | 46% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1183 | 43% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
| 1204 | 805 | 91% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1014 | 48% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1029 | 46% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1104 | 1090 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1029.9 vs 1025.4 has a 50.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).