The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
964 | 942 | 53% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
753 | 1225 | 6% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
1009 | 1137 | 32% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
929 | 938 | 49% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
999 | 1050 | 43% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
1203 | 1042 | 72% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
1033 | 992 | 56% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
1117 | 1064 | 58% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
1141 | 1213 | 40% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
1183 | 1042 | 69% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
1012 | 995 | 52% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
1012 | 1029 | 48% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1031.6 vs 1061.9 has a 45.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).