The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 942 | 52% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
804 | 1153 | 12% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
971 | 1168 | 24% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
980 | 1029 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
1192 | 1087 | 65% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
1144 | 950 | 75% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
816 | 1109 | 16% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
925 | 950 | 46% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
1083 | 1026 | 58% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
1083 | 1012 | 60% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1004.9 vs 1045.3 has a 44.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).