The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (13 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2024-01-15 | | Won |
| 728 | 1298 | 4% | 2022-07-04 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2022-01-17 | | Lost |
| 986 | 949 | 55% | 2021-12-02 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2021-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1116 | 41% | 2021-10-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2021-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1134 | 55% | 2021-08-24 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 974 | 64% | 2021-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2021-01-19 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1031.1 vs 1027.9 has a 50.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).