The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2024-01-15 | | Won |
| 732 | 1243 | 5% | 2022-07-04 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2022-01-17 | | Lost |
| 987 | 977 | 51% | 2021-12-02 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2021-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-11-08 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2021-10-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2021-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1085 | 55% | 2021-08-24 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2021-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 986 | 63% | 2021-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 2021-01-19 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 1030.1 has a 50.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).