The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 909 | 54% | 2024-01-15 | Won |
| 741 | 1218 | 6% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
| 1167 | 971 | 76% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 977 | 997 | 47% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
| 924 | 1046 | 33% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1070 | 60% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1069 | 1006 | 59% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1069 | 60% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1070 | 70% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1077 | 977 | 64% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1108 | 46% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1038 vs 1042.9 has a 49.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).