The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 962 | 46% | 2024-01-15 | Won |
| 731 | 1279 | 4% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
| 1095 | 986 | 65% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 930 | 1013 | 38% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
| 923 | 1029 | 35% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
| 1044 | 975 | 60% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1068 | 1085 | 48% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
| 1169 | 986 | 74% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1014 | 53% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1030 | 51% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1122 | 1095 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1023.3 vs 1043.5 has a 47.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).