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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Polish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1027 | 48% | 2024-09-24 | Won |
| 731 | 1278 | 4% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1206 | 731 | 94% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
| 1217 | 931 | 84% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 1001 | 1180 | 26% | 2021-08-19 | Won |
| 1009 | 997 | 52% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1151 | 739 | 91% | 2021-08-12 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1192 | 53% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 916 | 944 | 46% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1217 | 27% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1076.6 vs 1029.6 has a 56.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).