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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1041 | 44% | 2024-09-24 | Won |
| 748 | 1277 | 5% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1112 | 61% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 1311 | 1110 | 76% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
| 1220 | 1342 | 33% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 1031 | 1204 | 27% | 2021-08-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1140 | 707 | 92% | 2021-08-12 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1192 | 47% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 920 | 896 | 53% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1220 | 25% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1097.9 has a 45.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).