Great Vengeance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (31 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 38
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2025-08-09 | Lost |
| 998 | 846 | 71% | 2025-05-06 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1033 | 51% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1215 | 879 | 87% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1220 | 1154 | 59% | 2024-10-25 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2023-08-29 | Tied |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1268 | 988 | 83% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 870 | 874 | 49% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1010 | 74% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1111 | 961 | 70% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1010 | 935 | 61% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 870 | 57% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 959 | 980 | 47% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1044 | 74% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1082 | 40% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1154 | 1008 | 70% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1115 | 1104 | 52% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1268 | 1020 | 81% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1268 | 1144 | 67% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1098 | 1143 | 44% | 2022-03-01 | Tied |
| 882 | 1181 | 15% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1135 | 53% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1098 | 48% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1012 | 1052 | 44% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1029 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1090.6 vs 1010.4 has a 61.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).