Great Vengeance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (33 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 38
Defender wins (German): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 1043 | 51% | 2026-02-17 | Lost |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2025-08-09 | Lost |
| 1318 | 1263 | 58% | 2025-06-14 | Lost |
| 884 | 910 | 46% | 2025-05-06 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1002 | 56% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1215 | 891 | 87% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1219 | 1228 | 49% | 2024-10-25 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1129 | 50% | 2023-08-29 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1212 | 998 | 77% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1227 | 988 | 80% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 940 | 874 | 59% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1068 | 67% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1128 | 995 | 68% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1068 | 966 | 64% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 940 | 47% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 925 | 980 | 42% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1212 | 998 | 77% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1007 | 50% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1228 | 1030 | 76% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1227 | 984 | 80% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1227 | 1140 | 62% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1042 | 1131 | 37% | 2022-03-01 | Tied |
| 911 | 1074 | 28% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1042 | 56% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 969 | 56% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1098.5 vs 1031 has a 59.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).