The Down Payment
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (2 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 2
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 982 | 49% | 2023-10-31 | Won |
| 1172 | 982 | 75% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1073 vs 982 has a 62.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).