First Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1022 | 52% | 2025-09-18 | Lost |
| 983 | 920 | 59% | 2023-10-27 | Won |
| 1133 | 1151 | 47% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 984 | 1033 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 999 | 54% | 2021-11-23 | Won |
| 1193 | 1215 | 47% | 2021-11-10 | Lost |
| 1199 | 1217 | 47% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.6 vs 1056.6 has a 49.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).