Villy Muss Fallen! West
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (8 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (French): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1228 | 47% | 2024-10-06 | Won |
| 1241 | 1090 | 70% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1141 | 70% | 2023-11-08 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2023-07-03 | Won |
| 1228 | 1204 | 53% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1136 | 49% | 2022-10-02 | Lost |
| 786 | 1041 | 19% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1014 | 85% | 2021-11-14 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1172.8 vs 1075.3 has a 63.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).