Reaction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (6 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1175 | 27% | 2025-06-07 | Tied |
| 1115 | 1189 | 40% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1047 | 1043 | 51% | 2022-05-26 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1028 | 46% | 2021-12-05 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2021-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1081.5 vs 1090.2 has a 48.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).