The Horse They Never Rode
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (5 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Communist Chinese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1109 | 40% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 1162 | 1224 | 41% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
| 1123 | 907 | 78% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1045 | 933 | 66% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
| 933 | 1256 | 13% | 2021-10-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1060.8 vs 1085.8 has a 46.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).