The Horse They Never Rode
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (5 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Communist Chinese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-04-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1157 | 29% | 2023-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 907 | 77% | 2022-11-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2022-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1243 | 38% | 2021-10-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1092.6 has a 45.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).