The Horse They Never Rode
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (4 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (Communist Chinese): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1067 | 59% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 1110 | 920 | 75% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1244 | 1017 | 79% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1266 | 19% | 2021-10-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1124.8 vs 1067.5 has a 58.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).