The Horse They Never Rode
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (4 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Communist Chinese): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1103 | 1117 | 48% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 1122 | 906 | 78% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1244 | 1002 | 80% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1282 | 17% | 2021-10-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1117.8 vs 1076.8 has a 55.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).