A Greek Tragedy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 19
Defender wins (Italian): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Greek): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2025-10-12 | Won |
| 1154 | 1046 | 65% | 2025-05-18 | Lost |
| 1079 | 977 | 64% | 2022-07-07 | Won |
| 997 | 1226 | 21% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
| 1220 | 957 | 82% | 2022-03-18 | Won |
| 997 | 923 | 60% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 999 | 997 | 50% | 2022-02-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1021 | 55% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1243 | 1245 | 50% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 976 | 1243 | 18% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1076.9 vs 1066.5 has a 51.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).