A Greek Tragedy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 19
Defender wins (Italian): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Greek): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 1123 | 50% | 2025-10-12 | Won |
| 1089 | 1051 | 55% | 2025-05-18 | Lost |
| 1203 | 954 | 81% | 2022-07-07 | Won |
| 1043 | 1226 | 26% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
| 1254 | 960 | 84% | 2022-03-18 | Won |
| 1043 | 922 | 67% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 996 | 1043 | 43% | 2022-02-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 1082 | 46% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1134 | 1210 | 39% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1142 | 33% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1096.4 vs 1071.3 has a 53.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).