A Greek Tragedy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (9 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Greek): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1080 | 51% | 2025-05-18 | Lost |
| 1199 | 910 | 84% | 2022-07-07 | Won |
| 970 | 1223 | 19% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
| 1266 | 959 | 85% | 2022-03-18 | Won |
| 970 | 920 | 57% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 995 | 970 | 54% | 2022-02-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 1084 | 46% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1292 | 1264 | 54% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 977 | 1141 | 28% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1090.6 vs 1061.2 has a 54.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).