A Greek Tragedy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 19
Defender wins (Italian): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Greek): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1085 | 48% | 2025-10-12 | Won |
| 1076 | 1024 | 57% | 2025-05-18 | Lost |
| 1102 | 952 | 70% | 2022-07-07 | Won |
| 1018 | 1226 | 23% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
| 1243 | 959 | 84% | 2022-03-18 | Won |
| 1018 | 923 | 63% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 1011 | 1018 | 49% | 2022-02-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1081 | 46% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1176 | 1179 | 50% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 976 | 1200 | 22% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1074.9 vs 1064.7 has a 51.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).