A Greek Tragedy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 19
Defender wins (Italian): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Greek): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1127 | 47% | 2025-10-12 | Won |
| 1084 | 1035 | 57% | 2025-05-18 | Lost |
| 1148 | 931 | 78% | 2022-07-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1226 | 23% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
| 1254 | 959 | 85% | 2022-03-18 | Won |
| 1013 | 923 | 63% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 1011 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-02-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 1082 | 46% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 1216 | 39% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1135 | 34% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1085.1 vs 1064.7 has a 52.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).