Chateau of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (British): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 996 | 56% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 1099 | 1141 | 44% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1166 | 958 | 77% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 939 | 1004 | 41% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1073 | 57% | 2022-12-04 | Won |
| 1056 | 997 | 58% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1064 | 67% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 1277 | 1080 | 76% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 961 | 1110 | 30% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1204 | 27% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1088.5 vs 1062.7 has a 53.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).