Chateau of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (British): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 754 | 91% | 2025-12-30 | | Won |
| 754 | 1158 | 9% | 2025-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1031 | 67% | 2024-10-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2023-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 917 | 62% | 2023-07-28 | | Won |
| 981 | 985 | 49% | 2023-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1074 | 48% | 2022-12-04 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1062 | 50% | 2022-08-02 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 1037 | 74% | 2022-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2022-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1041 | 1141 | 36% | 2022-03-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1038.4 vs 1038.7 has a 49.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).