Chateau of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (British): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 995 | 54% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 1108 | 1154 | 43% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 990 | 972 | 53% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 939 | 1004 | 41% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1052 | 58% | 2022-12-04 | Won |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 1274 | 1080 | 75% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 962 | 1110 | 30% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1063.2 vs 1050.8 has a 51.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).