Chateau of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (British): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2025-12-30 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2025-11-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 1028 | 40% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 1103 | 1228 | 33% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 989 | 1002 | 48% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 930 | 1004 | 40% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1134 | 969 | 72% | 2022-12-04 | Won |
| 1033 | 977 | 58% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1029 | 70% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 1220 | 1080 | 69% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1058 | 52% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1040.6 has a 50.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).