Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1260 | 35% | 2025-08-23 | Lost |
| 1174 | 959 | 78% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1175 | 985 | 75% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1144 | 40% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 964 | 55% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1073 | 52% | 2022-08-19 | Lost |
| 1081 | 964 | 66% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1024 | 975 | 57% | 2022-08-01 | Won |
| 1105 | 786 | 86% | 2022-07-02 | Won |
| 951 | 981 | 46% | 2022-04-26 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1023 | 49% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1064.3 vs 1009.6 has a 57.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).