Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (14 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2026-05-21 | A | Lost |
| 1195 | 1175 | 53% | 2025-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2025-08-22 | A | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2025-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1179 | 972 | 77% | 2022-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1103 | 40% | 2022-10-17 | | Won |
| 934 | 1000 | 41% | 2022-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2022-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1000 | 53% | 2022-08-06 | | Won |
| 1008 | 977 | 54% | 2022-08-01 | | Won |
| 1167 | 786 | 90% | 2022-07-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2022-04-26 | | Won |
| 998 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-03-22 | | Lost |
| 954 | 1093 | 31% | 2022-02-26 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1052 vs 1023.1 has a 54.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).