Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (12 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 24
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 1141 | 48% | 2025-08-23 | Lost |
| 1158 | 907 | 81% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1021 | 69% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1131 | 44% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 931 | 963 | 45% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1116 | 51% | 2022-08-19 | Lost |
| 1082 | 963 | 66% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1051 | 954 | 64% | 2022-08-01 | Won |
| 1075 | 806 | 82% | 2022-07-02 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-04-26 | Won |
| 1043 | 1047 | 49% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 1036 | 947 | 63% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1069.6 vs 998.2 has a 60.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).