Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (13 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 25
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1171 | 1182 | 48% | 2025-08-23 | Lost |
| 1122 | 996 | 67% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 995 | 1028 | 45% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1144 | 985 | 71% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1131 | 42% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 988 | 1225 | 20% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2022-08-19 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1225 | 24% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 983 | 992 | 49% | 2022-08-01 | Won |
| 1073 | 786 | 84% | 2022-07-02 | Won |
| 951 | 982 | 46% | 2022-04-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 1048 | 947 | 64% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046.1 vs 1037.3 has a 51.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).