Last Hope at New Flower
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 2
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2025-08-31 | Won |
| 1112 | 1088 | 53% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 990 | 947 | 56% | 2022-07-31 | Won |
| 946 | 1016 | 40% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 952 | 1070 | 34% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1014 vs 1038.2 has a 46.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).