Last Hope at New Flower
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 2
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1066 | 52% | 2025-08-31 | Won |
| 1048 | 1018 | 54% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 988 | 1038 | 43% | 2022-07-31 | Won |
| 948 | 1136 | 25% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 968 | 1066 | 36% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1006.8 vs 1064.8 has a 41.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).