Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1136 | 25% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1064 | 61% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1122 | 45% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 734 | 1168 | 8% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1060 | 46% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1278 | 45% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1004 | 1033 | 46% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1027 | 72% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1011 | 54% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 1085 | 31% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 976 | 70% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 924 | 1140 | 22% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1051 | 59% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1101 | 56% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1046 | 49% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 1063 | 987 | 61% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1241 | 44% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1077 | 60% | 2022-09-16 | Lost |
| 976 | 780 | 76% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1211 | 928 | 84% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 965 | 910 | 58% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 980 | 969 | 52% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 972 | 1218 | 20% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1058.7 vs 1067.7 has a 48.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).