Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1120 | 32% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1057 | 58% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1120 | 61% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 755 | 1203 | 7% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1024 | 51% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1275 | 55% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1149 | 860 | 84% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1038 | 938 | 64% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 1195 | 20% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1061 | 945 | 66% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 999 | 1108 | 35% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1085 | 993 | 63% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1097 | 52% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1028 | 55% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 1050 | 929 | 67% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1096 | 1302 | 23% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1310 | 29% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 788 | 70% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1098 | 937 | 72% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 966 | 909 | 58% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1020 | 1084 | 41% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 1032 | 1233 | 24% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.8 vs 1064.8 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).