Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1132 | 32% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1058 | 66% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1122 | 49% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 736 | 1274 | 4% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1002 | 60% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1277 | 41% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1030 | 1033 | 50% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1236 | 805 | 92% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1032 | 58% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 958 | 1118 | 28% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1014 | 57% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1112 | 45% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1014 | 61% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1100 | 52% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1028 | 59% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 1051 | 954 | 64% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1217 | 40% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 1014 | 782 | 79% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 991 | 917 | 60% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 885 | 910 | 46% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 1009 | 1180 | 27% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1056 vs 1062.7 has a 49.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).