Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1065 | 1056 | 51% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
1144 | 1128 | 52% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
804 | 1175 | 11% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
1030 | 1083 | 42% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
1327 | 1286 | 56% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
937 | 1035 | 36% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
925 | 971 | 43% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
1056 | 1168 | 34% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
952 | 1144 | 25% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
1028 | 994 | 55% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
1192 | 1088 | 65% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
1052 | 941 | 65% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
1088 | 1092 | 49% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
1028 | 1043 | 48% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
1087 | 971 | 66% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
1086 | 1307 | 22% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
1197 | 1327 | 32% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
1168 | 802 | 89% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
1351 | 780 | 96% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
959 | 906 | 58% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
1017 | 1026 | 49% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
1058 | 1216 | 29% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1072 vs 1071.5 has a 50.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).