Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 963 | 1136 | 27% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1060 | 58% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1122 | 51% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 754 | 1213 | 7% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1278 | 39% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 999 | 1033 | 45% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1237 | 1004 | 79% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 1131 | 26% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1000 | 67% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 924 | 1127 | 24% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1063 | 55% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1101 | 54% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1028 | 56% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 983 | 992 | 49% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1157 | 1252 | 37% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1203 | 48% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 780 | 78% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1023 | 919 | 65% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 934 | 910 | 53% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1026 | 1015 | 52% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1049.1 vs 1068.6 has a 47.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).