Race to the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (8 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 22
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 987 | 54% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2023-02-21 | Lost |
| 978 | 1078 | 36% | 2023-02-01 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1117 | 46% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1086 | 64% | 2022-08-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
| 1156 | 991 | 72% | 2022-07-08 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1089.5 has a 47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).