Race to the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (8 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Japanese): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 1037 | 45% | 2024-07-12 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2024-04-21 | | Lost |
| 973 | 1315 | 12% | 2023-02-21 | | Lost |
| 755 | 1098 | 12% | 2023-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1073 | 57% | 2022-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2022-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1075 | 63% | 2022-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2022-07-08 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1017.3 vs 1103.8 has a 37.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).